COVID-19 Update 6: Seasonality: will COVID-19 go away in the summer?

In this video, you will learn about the expected seasonality of the coronavirus by examining the behavior of influenza, and reviewing multiple published resources as references.

Influenza is clearly seasonal, that’s a fact. The incidence is higher in winter – December through April for the northern hemisphere, June through September in the southern hemisphere, and in the tropics, the incidence appears to be greatest during the rainy season.

Some resources say the common cold coronaviruses are also seasonal with little transmission in the summer, so SARS-CoV2 will also behave like that.The problem with this statement is that they forget the fact that new viruses (we’ve never been exposed to) behave very differently from existing viruses where there is pre-existing immunity.

We review the three main reasons or factors for the seasonality of influenza – the environment, human behavior and the depletion of susceptible hosts to draw the conclusion it’s likely that we’re going to see further spread of SARS-CoV-2 in the summer.

#medmastery #coronavirus #COVID19 #sarscov2 #coronaviruschina #coronavirustruth #coronavirusdeaths #WHO #wuhan #infection #pandemic #publichealth
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Links for reference:

https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC3080923/
https://jvi.asm.org/content/jvi/88/14/7692.full.pdf
https://journals.plos.org/plosbiology/article?id=10.1371/journal.pbio.1000316
https://www.medrxiv.org/content/10.1101/2020.02.12.20022467v1.full.pdf
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/24434751
https://journals.plos.org/plosone/article?id=10.1371/journal.pone.0020743
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Useful resources:
For checking daily developments of cases, deaths and more:
https://gisanddata.maps.arcgis.com/apps/opsdashboard/index.html#/bda7594740fd40299423467b48e9ecf6
https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/

Other useful resources:
Journal Watch:
https://www.jwatch.org/na51020/2020/03/04/covid-19-collection-nejm-journal-watch-coverage
New England Journal of Medicine:
https://www.nejm.org/coronavirus
Github collaboration:
https://github.com/midas-network/COVID-19/blob/master/parameter_estimates/2019_novel_coronavirus/README.md#doubling-time
CDC:
https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019-ncov/php/preparing-communities.html
WHO:
https://www.who.int/emergencies/diseases/novel-coronavirus-2019
Nucleuswealth:

Updated COVID-19 (Coronavirus) statistics and analysis

Watch the other Medmastery COVID-19 Updates:
COVID-19 Update: How to tell if a pandemic is likely to occur or not–R0 and the serial interval
Watch: https://bit.ly/3cGPaJL

COVID-19 Update: How to stop an epidemic – Herd immunity
Watch: https://bit.ly/39ETbwr

COVID-19 Update: Symptoms of COVID-19
Watch: https://bit.ly/39CIzxX

COVID-19 Update: Clinical characteristics of COVID-19
Watch: https://bit.ly/39CKgf1

COVID-19 Update: Estimating case fatality rates for COVID-19
Watch: https://bit.ly/2vGBqhH
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Speaker: Franz Wiesbauer, MD MPH
Internist & Founder at Medmastery
LinkedIn: https://at.linkedin.com/in/franzwiesbauer
PubMed: https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/?term=Franz+Wiesbauer

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